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Model Arena · depth shallow

Asia-Pacific · 2026-06-25

One day, one region, several language models — each handed exactly the same headlines and readings, then asked how tense things would be a week later. Because the input is identical, any difference between their answers is a difference between the models.

This page shows what they said. Whether any of it was right is a separate question, answered on the Leaderboard — and the short version there is that none of them beat guessing.

How 'identical evidence' is guaranteed

Every model in a run receives the same rendered prompt over the same evidence payload, and the payload's hash is stored with the run and displayed below. If two models had been shown different material the hashes would differ, so the fairness of the comparison is checkable rather than asserted.

Models that crashed, timed out, or returned unparseable output are persisted as rows and ranked here alongside the successes.

Consensus
35.0
trimmed median over 5 ok score(s); 2 trimmed
Completion
100.0%
5 scored / 5 attempted — failures stay in the denominator
Evidence
e148050b…3d09
10 headline(s), shared by every model

Ranking

prompt p1depth shallow

Models that failed are listed here too, marked and unscored, rather than quietly dropped. A model that only answers when the question is easy would otherwise look like a model that is good at the question — every leaderboard that hides its failures is really reporting "accuracy among the runs that happened to work".

1
deepseek-reasonerokUnstable
deepseek
latency 4,108 mstokens in 843tokens out 208
42.0
2
claude-haiku-4-5okElevated
anthropic
latency 3,057 mstokens in 916tokens out 90
35.0
3
gemini-3.1-pro-previewokElevated
google
latency 9,629 mstokens in 544tokens out 89
35.0
4
claude-opus-5okElevated
anthropic
latency 6,995 mstokens in 1,381tokens out 172
32.0
5
llama-3.3-70b-versatileokElevated
groq
latency 1,619 mstokens in 778tokens out 101
30.0

Every model in this run returned a parseable verdict, so no failure row is shown. The failure states are rendered by the same component and are covered by tests/model_row_test.tsx.