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Evidence inspector

Asia-Pacific · 2026-06-26

The receipts. This is the exact material every model was shown for this day and region, followed by what each of them made of it — in its own words, next to the number it gave.

It is worth reading once even if you skip everything else: it is where confident-sounding reasoning and a score that turns out to be no better than chance sit side by side.

Why the evidence is identical, and how you can check

Evidence is gathered once per (date, region, depth_profile), hashed, and reused for every model in the run. A disagreement below is therefore a disagreement about identical input, not two models getting different search results. The evidence hash shown on this page is what makes that checkable.

Region
Asia-PacificEuropeMiddle East & North AfricaSub-Saharan AfricaNorth America
Depth profile
shallow
Date
2026-07-122026-07-112026-07-102026-07-092026-07-082026-07-072026-07-062026-07-052026-07-042026-07-032026-07-022026-07-012026-06-302026-06-292026-06-282026-06-272026-06-262026-06-25
Evidence hash
a918e0531b894c732834fb29762419e4afa25e4f544fb68d34959b897e915209

SHA-256 over the canonically serialised payload minus the hash itself, so it is stable across processes and machines. It is stored on the run and on every score row below — provenance is checkable, not asserted. Every score row below carries this same hash.

Source material · 10

shallow

These headlines, in this order, are the entire world the models were given. Nothing else about Asia-Pacific on 2026-06-26 was in the prompt.

Extracts: not gathered at shallow depth — Stage 7 populates extracts only for standard and deep profiles. Zero here means "not requested", not "requested and empty". Full article texts: not gathered at shallow depth — only the deep profile fetches them.

The shallow profile requests 20 headlines and 10 are stored. That is a known provider cap, not a clipped payload: the Serper news endpoint returns at most 10 items per request regardless of the count asked for, and pagination has not been added. The three profiles currently differ in enrichment, not in headline breadth.

Model rationales

prompt p1

Same headlines, same rendered prompt, different readings. Where two models diverge, the disagreement is about interpretation, because the input was byte-identical and the hash proves it. The scored verdicts here span 18.0 points of the 0-100 scale.

claude-haiku-4-5
anthropic
28.0
okStable

The APAC region shows predominantly positive developments centered on climate initiatives, renewable energy investment, and trade expansion, with no acute security crises or major conflicts evident in the shallow evidence provided. Minor geopolitical tensions are noted regarding Russia's regional activities and energy infrastructure challenges, but these do not constitute immediate destabilizing threats to regional stability on this date.

evidence a918e0531b89…prompt p1
claude-opus-5
anthropic
22.0
okStable

The day's evidence is dominated by routine economic, energy-transition, investment and climate-adaptation stories — green bonds in Vietnam, a Shanghai HQ deal, UAE interest in CPTPP and a Pacific climate mobility award — none of which indicate active conflict or governance breakdown in the region. Mild elevation is warranted only by background strategic friction noted in commentary on Russia's deepening Asia engagement and spillover from the Iran war, plus structural strains on power infrastructure and climate/cyber risk exposure.

evidence a918e0531b89…prompt p1
deepseek-reasoner
deepseek
20.0
okStable

The headlines reflect routine economic, diplomatic, and environmental developments across the Asia-Pacific, with no signs of acute conflict or crisis. Moderate concerns such as energy infrastructure and geopolitical shifts are present but do not indicate immediate destabilization.

evidence a918e0531b89…prompt p1
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
google
20.0
okStable

The Asia-Pacific region demonstrates strong economic and diplomatic stability, highlighted by new corporate investments, green energy initiatives, and expanding trade partnerships. While Russia is leveraging external conflicts to increase its influence among ASEAN states, the overall regional environment remains calm and focused on infrastructure development.

evidence a918e0531b89…prompt p1
llama-3.3-70b-versatile
groq
10.0
okStable

The region is experiencing a period of relative calm, with news focused on awards, business deals, and conferences, indicating a sense of normalcy and cooperation. The absence of reports on conflict, natural disasters, or major social unrest supports a low chaos score, suggesting that the Asia-Pacific region is currently in a stable state.

evidence a918e0531b89…prompt p1

Every model returned a parseable verdict for this evidence, so no failure card is shown. Non-ok rows are rendered by the same component — with error_text where the rationale would be — and are covered by tests/rationale_card_test.tsx.