ChaosWatch
New here? Start here →
Evidence inspector

Asia-Pacific · 2026-06-28

The receipts. This is the exact material every model was shown for this day and region, followed by what each of them made of it — in its own words, next to the number it gave.

It is worth reading once even if you skip everything else: it is where confident-sounding reasoning and a score that turns out to be no better than chance sit side by side.

Why the evidence is identical, and how you can check

Evidence is gathered once per (date, region, depth_profile), hashed, and reused for every model in the run. A disagreement below is therefore a disagreement about identical input, not two models getting different search results. The evidence hash shown on this page is what makes that checkable.

Evidence hash
53f543de6635876c0c8fd9da6ae615844372924a4db4a05b9a19ffc52fb15278

SHA-256 over the canonically serialised payload minus the hash itself, so it is stable across processes and machines. It is stored on the run and on every score row below — provenance is checkable, not asserted. Every score row below carries this same hash.

Source material · 9

shallow

These headlines, in this order, are the entire world the models were given. Nothing else about Asia-Pacific on 2026-06-28 was in the prompt.

07

Will Vietnam's Asia pivot pay off?

TOKYO -- The Shangri-La Dialogue, Asia's premier defense forum held every May or June in Singapore, is known for attracting distinguished keynote spea.

asia.nikkei.com
09

Inclusion 'promotes economic growth'

Inclusion is being recognised as a driver of economic growth, investment and competitiveness, with speakers at a forum highlighting its role in...

bangkokpost.com

Extracts: not gathered at shallow depth — Stage 7 populates extracts only for standard and deep profiles. Zero here means "not requested", not "requested and empty". Full article texts: not gathered at shallow depth — only the deep profile fetches them.

The shallow profile requests 20 headlines and 9 are stored. That is a known provider cap, not a clipped payload: the Serper news endpoint returns at most 10 items per request regardless of the count asked for, and pagination has not been added. The three profiles currently differ in enrichment, not in headline breadth.

Model rationales

prompt p1

Same headlines, same rendered prompt, different readings. Where two models diverge, the disagreement is about interpretation, because the input was byte-identical and the hash proves it. The scored verdicts here span 18.0 points of the 0-100 scale.

claude-haiku-4-5
anthropic
28.0
okStable

The APAC region shows predominantly positive economic and energy development signals, with major infrastructure investments (Faraday Energy, Dong Nai's growth plans) and stabilizing commodity prices offsetting localized environmental concerns and minor protest activity. While air quality issues in the Maldives and climate-related energy strains in Europe present challenges, there are no indicators of acute geopolitical conflict, systemic instability, or imminent security threats within the APAC region itself on this date.

evidence 53f543de6635…prompt p1
deepseek-reasoner
deepseek
20.0
okStable

Headlines reflect routine economic and infrastructure developments across APAC, such as investment in energy solutions and regional growth initiatives, with no immediate large-scale security or geopolitical crisis. The only notable unrest is a climate activist hunger strike in India, which remains a localized protest event not indicating broader instability.

evidence 53f543de6635…prompt p1
claude-opus-5
anthropic
19.0
okStable

The day's APAC evidence is dominated by benign economic and energy stories — a US$500m clean-energy venture, regional development plans, real estate awards and easing Australian fuel prices back to pre-conflict levels — with no reports of violence, disaster or state-level confrontation in the region. Mild friction is visible only in a peaceful hunger-strike protest in New Delhi, defense-diplomacy positioning around Vietnam's Asia pivot, and residual volatility risk from the recently de-escalated Iran conflict affecting fuel markets.

evidence 53f543de6635…prompt p1
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
google
15.0
okStable

The Asia-Pacific region demonstrates broad economic and diplomatic stability, highlighted by major energy investments and normalizing fuel prices in Australia. The only notable disruption is a localized, peaceful climate protest in India, which poses no significant threat to regional security.

evidence 53f543de6635…prompt p1
llama-3.3-70b-versatile
groq
10.0
okStable

The region's economic and environmental initiatives, such as the launch of Faraday Energy and the recognition of inclusion as a driver of economic growth, indicate a sense of stability and progress. The absence of any major conflict or crisis reports in the region on this day further supports this assessment, suggesting that the APAC region is currently experiencing a period of relative calm.

evidence 53f543de6635…prompt p1

Every model returned a parseable verdict for this evidence, so no failure card is shown. Non-ok rows are rendered by the same component — with error_text where the rationale would be — and are covered by tests/rationale_card_test.tsx.