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Evidence inspector

Asia-Pacific · 2026-06-30

The receipts. This is the exact material every model was shown for this day and region, followed by what each of them made of it — in its own words, next to the number it gave.

It is worth reading once even if you skip everything else: it is where confident-sounding reasoning and a score that turns out to be no better than chance sit side by side.

Why the evidence is identical, and how you can check

Evidence is gathered once per (date, region, depth_profile), hashed, and reused for every model in the run. A disagreement below is therefore a disagreement about identical input, not two models getting different search results. The evidence hash shown on this page is what makes that checkable.

Evidence hash
03a5ff76f7a45856e66828eab7ee6aed9861e2bc757531f04da9a19bfd5b816d

SHA-256 over the canonically serialised payload minus the hash itself, so it is stable across processes and machines. It is stored on the run and on every score row below — provenance is checkable, not asserted. Every score row below carries this same hash.

Source material · 10

shallow

These headlines, in this order, are the entire world the models were given. Nothing else about Asia-Pacific on 2026-06-30 was in the prompt.

02

Climate SDGs Conference 2026

All sessions from the 7th Global Conference on Climate & SDG Synergies are now available. View session recordings. BANGKOK CONFERENCE TAKES...

un.org

Extracts: not gathered at shallow depth — Stage 7 populates extracts only for standard and deep profiles. Zero here means "not requested", not "requested and empty". Full article texts: not gathered at shallow depth — only the deep profile fetches them.

The shallow profile requests 20 headlines and 10 are stored. That is a known provider cap, not a clipped payload: the Serper news endpoint returns at most 10 items per request regardless of the count asked for, and pagination has not been added. The three profiles currently differ in enrichment, not in headline breadth.

Model rationales

prompt p1

Same headlines, same rendered prompt, different readings. Where two models diverge, the disagreement is about interpretation, because the input was byte-identical and the hash proves it. The scored verdicts here span 20.0 points of the 0-100 scale.

llama-3.3-70b-versatile
groq
40.0
okElevated

The region is experiencing climate-related challenges and a significant climate fund gap, with a reported $800 billion shortfall, which poses a threat to stability. However, the presence of various initiatives, conferences, and investments in renewable energy and sustainable development suggests that the region is actively working to address these issues, preventing the situation from escalating to a higher level of chaos.

evidence 03a5ff76f7a4…prompt p1
claude-haiku-4-5
anthropic
28.0
okStable

The Asia-Pacific region demonstrates active engagement with climate and sustainable development initiatives, including renewable energy investment growth, ocean governance expansion, and multiple international conferences focused on climate-SDG synergies. While structural challenges exist—such as funding gaps, procurement inefficiencies, and emissions concerns—these represent policy and implementation issues rather than acute instability or conflict indicators. The primary geopolitical concern flagged is potential spillover from Middle East tensions, but this remains speculative rather than an active destabilizing force in the region as of June 2026 based on the available evidence.

evidence 03a5ff76f7a4…prompt p1
claude-opus-5
anthropic
22.0
okElevated

The evidence is dominated by climate governance, development financing, and energy-transition policy stories rather than any active conflict, unrest, or crisis within the region. Mild elevation reflects structural stressors flagged in the coverage — an $800 billion climate finance gap, climate-driven displacement, rising Asian emissions, and spillover risk from Middle East conflict to Philippine and regional development gains.

evidence 03a5ff76f7a4…prompt p1
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
google
22.0
okStable

The Asia-Pacific region exhibits broad stability, with regional activities primarily focused on climate finance, renewable energy investments, and ocean governance. While an $800 billion climate funding gap and potential economic spillover from Middle Eastern conflicts pose long-term challenges, there are no immediate indicators of severe unrest or geopolitical crisis.

evidence 03a5ff76f7a4…prompt p1
deepseek-reasoner
deepseek
20.0
okStable

The Asia-Pacific region shows ongoing cooperative efforts on climate and governance, with no immediate crisis indicators in the provided headlines. While an indirect risk from Middle East conflict is noted, the overall evidence points to routine policy and economic activity rather than instability.

evidence 03a5ff76f7a4…prompt p1

Every model returned a parseable verdict for this evidence, so no failure card is shown. Non-ok rows are rendered by the same component — with error_text where the rationale would be — and are covered by tests/rationale_card_test.tsx.