Evidence inspector
North America · 2026-06-30
The receipts. This is the exact material every model was shown for this day and region, followed by what each of them made of it — in its own words, next to the number it gave.
It is worth reading once even if you skip everything else: it is where confident-sounding reasoning and a score that turns out to be no better than chance sit side by side.
Why the evidence is identical, and how you can check
Evidence is gathered once per (date, region, depth_profile), hashed, and reused for every model in the run. A disagreement below is therefore a disagreement about identical input, not two models getting different search results. The evidence hash shown on this page is what makes that checkable.
Evidence hash
8b8665340a81e0b8cf166e80f0bd3037c183227f32d5575201583df3daf8fe44
SHA-256 over the canonically serialised payload minus the hash itself, so it is stable across processes and machines. It is stored on the run and on every score row below — provenance is checkable, not asserted. Every score row below carries this same hash.
Source material · 10
shallowThese headlines, in this order, are the entire world the models were given. Nothing else about North America on 2026-06-30 was in the prompt.
01
Across Europe, Central Asia and North America, inland transport systems — roads, railways, inland waterways, ports and airports — are expected to face...
unece.org
02
Esteban Guzmán Saucedo, Craig Kafura, Nik Nanos, and Julián Ventura discuss the renewal and future of the USMCA and the Council's newest public opinion...
globalaffairs.org
03
A University of Houston report finds that more than $1 trillion in new midstream energy infrastructure investment will be needed by 2052 to meet rising U.S....
uh.edu
04
PRNewswire/ -- As the nation approaches Independence Day, Duke Energy is investing in American suppliers to help power local economies, support customer...
prnewswire.com
05
The leading U.S. agricultural exports are grains and feeds, soybeans, livestock products, tree nuts, fruits, vegetables, and other horticultural products.
ers.usda.gov
06
S&P Global Ratings sees US growth holding near 2% as AI investment offsets energy turmoil.
investmentnews.com
07
EDF power solutions' North American renewable energy business operates solar, wind and battery storage assets across the U.S. and Canada.
wsj.com
08
The United States accounted for about a third of the rise in global carbon dioxide emissions in 2025, as higher gas prices pushed power producers back to...
reuters.com
09
As parts of southern Ontario, Quebec and the eastern United States swelter through a heat dome, here are the health warning signs to watch out for — and how...
cbc.ca
10
The US government has paid an energy firm $129 million to abandon its offshore wind farm plans, the latest deal to halt renewable energy development.
straitstimes.com
Model rationales
prompt p1Same headlines, same rendered prompt, different readings. Where two models diverge, the disagreement is about interpretation, because the input was byte-identical and the hash proves it. The scored verdicts here span 12.0 points of the 0-100 scale.
claude-haiku-4-5
anthropic
The evidence shows the US facing significant infrastructure and energy transition challenges, including climate adaptation needs, substantial investment requirements ($1+ trillion for energy infrastructure), and policy inconsistencies (halting renewable projects while investing in renewables elsewhere). However, these represent manageable structural issues rather than acute instability, with economic growth remaining stable near 2% and no indicators of immediate political, security, or social breakdown.
evidence 8b8665340a81…prompt p1
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
google
Despite a global energy shock stemming from the Strait of Hormuz, the United States remains economically insulated with steady growth and robust infrastructure investments. However, rising domestic gas prices and a dangerous heat dome affecting the eastern states introduce moderate environmental and public health pressures.
evidence 8b8665340a81…prompt p1
Evidence is dominated by infrastructure investment, energy policy shifts, trade negotiations, and a heat wave — routine economic and climate stresses rather than acute instability, with S&P projecting steady ~2% US growth insulated from the Hormuz energy shock. Mild elevation reflects external energy market turbulence, USMCA renewal uncertainty, a dangerous heat dome, and abrupt reversals in energy policy including paid cancellation of offshore wind projects and rising coal reliance.
evidence 8b8665340a81…prompt p1
deepseek-reasoner
deepseek
The evidence shows routine infrastructure and trade discussions, with no immediate crisis indicators. Climate-related concerns like heat domes and emissions are present but do not suggest systemic instability.
evidence 8b8665340a81…prompt p1
llama-3.3-70b-versatile
groq
The region is experiencing climate-related challenges, such as heat domes and increased carbon emissions, which pose health and environmental risks. However, significant investments in energy infrastructure and renewable energy, as well as ongoing trade and economic activities, suggest a level of stability and resilience in the region.
evidence 8b8665340a81…prompt p1