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Evidence inspector

Asia-Pacific · 2026-07-01

The receipts. This is the exact material every model was shown for this day and region, followed by what each of them made of it — in its own words, next to the number it gave.

It is worth reading once even if you skip everything else: it is where confident-sounding reasoning and a score that turns out to be no better than chance sit side by side.

Why the evidence is identical, and how you can check

Evidence is gathered once per (date, region, depth_profile), hashed, and reused for every model in the run. A disagreement below is therefore a disagreement about identical input, not two models getting different search results. The evidence hash shown on this page is what makes that checkable.

Evidence hash
37cdf08a46b4f42c0bd9c460e87c7cff4cfab69ecc173786485c9af7bd4f8b52

SHA-256 over the canonically serialised payload minus the hash itself, so it is stable across processes and machines. It is stored on the run and on every score row below — provenance is checkable, not asserted. Every score row below carries this same hash.

Source material · 10

shallow

These headlines, in this order, are the entire world the models were given. Nothing else about Asia-Pacific on 2026-07-01 was in the prompt.

Extracts: not gathered at shallow depth — Stage 7 populates extracts only for standard and deep profiles. Zero here means "not requested", not "requested and empty". Full article texts: not gathered at shallow depth — only the deep profile fetches them.

The shallow profile requests 20 headlines and 10 are stored. That is a known provider cap, not a clipped payload: the Serper news endpoint returns at most 10 items per request regardless of the count asked for, and pagination has not been added. The three profiles currently differ in enrichment, not in headline breadth.

Model rationales

prompt p1

Same headlines, same rendered prompt, different readings. Where two models diverge, the disagreement is about interpretation, because the input was byte-identical and the hash proves it. The scored verdicts here span 20.0 points of the 0-100 scale.

gemini-3.1-pro-preview
google
55.0
okUnstable

While much of the Asia-Pacific region demonstrates stable economic growth and proactive investments in renewable energy infrastructure, the ongoing post-coup conflict in Myanmar has reached a devastating milestone of 100,000 fatalities. This severe localized violence significantly elevates regional instability, even as neighboring nations focus on climate resilience and technological advancement.

evidence 37cdf08a46b4…prompt p1
deepseek-reasoner
deepseek
48.0
okUnstable

The confirmed death toll of 100,000 in Myanmar's post-coup conflict represents a severe humanitarian and stability crisis within the region, elevating instability. Other headlines focus on economic, energy, and climate cooperation, indicating that the broader Asia-Pacific region remains generally stable despite this localized violence.

evidence 37cdf08a46b4…prompt p1
llama-3.3-70b-versatile
groq
40.0
okUnstable

The region is experiencing a mix of positive developments in renewable energy and climate resilience, with significant investments and growth in the cybersecurity and commercial air conditioner markets. However, the ongoing conflict in Myanmar with a death toll of 100,000 and the dominance of fossil fuels in key Southeast Asian countries contribute to the instability, warranting a score that reflects both the progress and the challenges in the Asia Pacific region.

evidence 37cdf08a46b4…prompt p1
claude-opus-5
anthropic
36.0
okElevated

Most of the day's evidence is benign market, energy-transition and climate-cooperation reporting, indicating no acute region-wide crisis or interstate escalation. The exception is Myanmar's post-coup conflict surpassing 100,000 recorded fatalities, a severe localized armed conflict that keeps regional instability above baseline.

evidence 37cdf08a46b4…prompt p1
claude-haiku-4-5
anthropic
35.0
okElevated

The APAC region shows mixed stability signals: positive economic and technological developments in renewable energy, cybersecurity, and climate finance initiatives indicate constructive regional engagement, but the Myanmar conflict with 100,000+ deaths represents a significant humanitarian crisis and localized instability. The predominance of economic and climate-focused headlines alongside one major conflict suggests underlying tensions exist but have not escalated to widespread regional destabilization as of this date.

evidence 37cdf08a46b4…prompt p1

Every model returned a parseable verdict for this evidence, so no failure card is shown. Non-ok rows are rendered by the same component — with error_text where the rationale would be — and are covered by tests/rationale_card_test.tsx.