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Evidence inspector

Asia-Pacific · 2026-07-02

The receipts. This is the exact material every model was shown for this day and region, followed by what each of them made of it — in its own words, next to the number it gave.

It is worth reading once even if you skip everything else: it is where confident-sounding reasoning and a score that turns out to be no better than chance sit side by side.

Why the evidence is identical, and how you can check

Evidence is gathered once per (date, region, depth_profile), hashed, and reused for every model in the run. A disagreement below is therefore a disagreement about identical input, not two models getting different search results. The evidence hash shown on this page is what makes that checkable.

Region
Asia-PacificEuropeMiddle East & North AfricaSub-Saharan AfricaNorth America
Depth profile
shallow
Date
2026-07-122026-07-112026-07-102026-07-092026-07-082026-07-072026-07-062026-07-052026-07-042026-07-032026-07-022026-07-012026-06-302026-06-292026-06-282026-06-272026-06-262026-06-25
Evidence hash
4373c52ca1a2c1867d0f3957de345ab104a9011ba34b3a2fe5faeaf94df748e6

SHA-256 over the canonically serialised payload minus the hash itself, so it is stable across processes and machines. It is stored on the run and on every score row below — provenance is checkable, not asserted. Every score row below carries this same hash.

Source material · 10

shallow

These headlines, in this order, are the entire world the models were given. Nothing else about Asia-Pacific on 2026-07-02 was in the prompt.

Extracts: not gathered at shallow depth — Stage 7 populates extracts only for standard and deep profiles. Zero here means "not requested", not "requested and empty". Full article texts: not gathered at shallow depth — only the deep profile fetches them.

The shallow profile requests 20 headlines and 10 are stored. That is a known provider cap, not a clipped payload: the Serper news endpoint returns at most 10 items per request regardless of the count asked for, and pagination has not been added. The three profiles currently differ in enrichment, not in headline breadth.

Model rationales

prompt p1

Same headlines, same rendered prompt, different readings. Where two models diverge, the disagreement is about interpretation, because the input was byte-identical and the hash proves it. The scored verdicts here span 18.0 points of the 0-100 scale.

deepseek-reasoner
deepseek
38.0
okElevated

The region shows moderate tensions from cybercrime increases and defence-oriented diplomacy, but no active crisis or severe instability is indicated. Economic and business activity remains robust, suggesting a generally stable environment with elevated security concerns.

evidence 4373c52ca1a2…prompt p1
claude-haiku-4-5
anthropic
35.0
okElevated

The APAC region shows mixed signals with positive economic activity (major IPOs, business confidence, infrastructure investment) and diplomatic engagement (Modi-Takaichi summit, Philippines-Canada partnership expansion), but underlying security concerns are evident through Taiwan's military modernization discussions and rising cybercrime across the region. While no acute crises are reported, the combination of geopolitical tensions, increased cyber threats, and military preparedness initiatives indicates elevated but not critical instability levels for the region on this date.

evidence 4373c52ca1a2…prompt p1
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
google
32.0
okElevated

Strong economic indicators, such as a major renewable energy IPO and high corporate confidence, alongside active diplomatic engagements point to a generally resilient region. However, rising cybercrime rates and ongoing military modernization efforts aimed at deterring conflict over Taiwan introduce notable security concerns that elevate the overall risk.

evidence 4373c52ca1a2…prompt p1
claude-opus-5
anthropic
24.0
okElevated

The bulk of the evidence is economically constructive — a record IPO, renewables leadership, CFO confidence, and diplomatic engagement between Manila, Ottawa, New Delhi and Tokyo — indicating no acute crisis in the region on this date. Persistent structural tensions remain visible, however, in Taiwan deterrence messaging, hedging defense alignments, and an INTERPOL-documented surge in regional cybercrime, keeping the reading modestly above baseline.

evidence 4373c52ca1a2…prompt p1
llama-3.3-70b-versatile
groq
20.0
okElevated

The region is experiencing a mix of positive developments, such as advancements in renewable energy and economic growth, but also faces challenges like a rise in cybercrime and geopolitical tensions. Overall, the situation is stable but with some concerns that warrant attention, hence the elevated score.

evidence 4373c52ca1a2…prompt p1

Every model returned a parseable verdict for this evidence, so no failure card is shown. Non-ok rows are rendered by the same component — with error_text where the rationale would be — and are covered by tests/rationale_card_test.tsx.