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Evidence inspector

Asia-Pacific · 2026-07-05

The receipts. This is the exact material every model was shown for this day and region, followed by what each of them made of it — in its own words, next to the number it gave.

It is worth reading once even if you skip everything else: it is where confident-sounding reasoning and a score that turns out to be no better than chance sit side by side.

Why the evidence is identical, and how you can check

Evidence is gathered once per (date, region, depth_profile), hashed, and reused for every model in the run. A disagreement below is therefore a disagreement about identical input, not two models getting different search results. The evidence hash shown on this page is what makes that checkable.

Region
Asia-PacificEuropeMiddle East & North AfricaSub-Saharan AfricaNorth America
Depth profile
shallow
Date
2026-07-122026-07-112026-07-102026-07-092026-07-082026-07-072026-07-062026-07-052026-07-042026-07-032026-07-022026-07-012026-06-302026-06-292026-06-282026-06-272026-06-262026-06-25
Evidence hash
9bcf3ad06f14c98fe5f28add18ae241055e82d7332eeeb30ad6d0f40ad726da5

SHA-256 over the canonically serialised payload minus the hash itself, so it is stable across processes and machines. It is stored on the run and on every score row below — provenance is checkable, not asserted. Every score row below carries this same hash.

Source material · 10

shallow

These headlines, in this order, are the entire world the models were given. Nothing else about Asia-Pacific on 2026-07-05 was in the prompt.

10

Cybersecurity lands on the CFO’s desk

FOR YEARS, when a cybersecurity question reached the chief financial officer (CFO), the answer was simple: talk to the IT department. That answer is gone.

manilatimes.net

Extracts: not gathered at shallow depth — Stage 7 populates extracts only for standard and deep profiles. Zero here means "not requested", not "requested and empty". Full article texts: not gathered at shallow depth — only the deep profile fetches them.

The shallow profile requests 20 headlines and 10 are stored. That is a known provider cap, not a clipped payload: the Serper news endpoint returns at most 10 items per request regardless of the count asked for, and pagination has not been added. The three profiles currently differ in enrichment, not in headline breadth.

Model rationales

prompt p1

Same headlines, same rendered prompt, different readings. Where two models diverge, the disagreement is about interpretation, because the input was byte-identical and the hash proves it. The scored verdicts here span 21.0 points of the 0-100 scale.

deepseek-reasoner
deepseek
45.0
okElevated

Regional economies face headwinds from rising energy costs and a weak loan market, with geopolitical fallout from the Iran war sapping confidence. Climate-related warnings add long-term risk, but no immediate acute crisis is indicated.

evidence 9bcf3ad06f14…prompt p1
claude-haiku-4-5
anthropic
42.0
okElevated

The APAC region faces mounting economic pressures from rising energy and fertilizer costs, weakening loan markets exacerbated by regional conflict, and long-term climate risks to monsoon systems that could destabilize agriculture. However, these challenges are being met with institutional responses including regional economic frameworks, increased cybersecurity investment, and climate action coordination, preventing immediate systemic collapse despite genuine structural vulnerabilities ahead.

evidence 9bcf3ad06f14…prompt p1
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
google
40.0
okElevated

Economic pressures from rising energy costs and the fallout of the Iran war are dampening growth and financial confidence across the Asia-Pacific region. However, ongoing diplomatic initiatives like the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework and regional climate cooperation help maintain baseline stability despite these external headwinds.

evidence 9bcf3ad06f14…prompt p1
llama-3.3-70b-versatile
groq
40.0
okElevated

The region is experiencing slower economic growth due to energy market pressure and potential climate disruptions, which may lead to instability. However, the appointment of a seasoned executive to lead cybersecurity efforts and the announcement of new contracts and initiatives suggest that the region is taking steps to address these challenges and mitigate potential risks.

evidence 9bcf3ad06f14…prompt p1
claude-opus-5
anthropic
24.0
okElevated

The evidence is dominated by economic and climate stress signals — rising fuel and fertiliser import costs squeezing small island states, a weak Asian loan market attributed to spillover from the Iran war, and long-horizon monsoon risk — rather than any active conflict or unrest within the region. Corporate appointments and climate-cooperation diplomacy suggest functioning institutions, so conditions read as strained but stable, with external shocks providing the main downside pressure.

evidence 9bcf3ad06f14…prompt p1

Every model returned a parseable verdict for this evidence, so no failure card is shown. Non-ok rows are rendered by the same component — with error_text where the rationale would be — and are covered by tests/rationale_card_test.tsx.