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Evidence inspector

Asia-Pacific · 2026-07-06

The receipts. This is the exact material every model was shown for this day and region, followed by what each of them made of it — in its own words, next to the number it gave.

It is worth reading once even if you skip everything else: it is where confident-sounding reasoning and a score that turns out to be no better than chance sit side by side.

Why the evidence is identical, and how you can check

Evidence is gathered once per (date, region, depth_profile), hashed, and reused for every model in the run. A disagreement below is therefore a disagreement about identical input, not two models getting different search results. The evidence hash shown on this page is what makes that checkable.

Region
Asia-PacificEuropeMiddle East & North AfricaSub-Saharan AfricaNorth America
Depth profile
shallow
Date
2026-07-122026-07-112026-07-102026-07-092026-07-082026-07-072026-07-062026-07-052026-07-042026-07-032026-07-022026-07-012026-06-302026-06-292026-06-282026-06-272026-06-262026-06-25
Evidence hash
d37bb023a88ae98a010941bf7542401d4bbfe2f66922df0e3c08c9856f1c7f34

SHA-256 over the canonically serialised payload minus the hash itself, so it is stable across processes and machines. It is stored on the run and on every score row below — provenance is checkable, not asserted. Every score row below carries this same hash.

Source material · 10

shallow

These headlines, in this order, are the entire world the models were given. Nothing else about Asia-Pacific on 2026-07-06 was in the prompt.

Extracts: not gathered at shallow depth — Stage 7 populates extracts only for standard and deep profiles. Zero here means "not requested", not "requested and empty". Full article texts: not gathered at shallow depth — only the deep profile fetches them.

The shallow profile requests 20 headlines and 10 are stored. That is a known provider cap, not a clipped payload: the Serper news endpoint returns at most 10 items per request regardless of the count asked for, and pagination has not been added. The three profiles currently differ in enrichment, not in headline breadth.

Model rationales

prompt p1

Same headlines, same rendered prompt, different readings. Where two models diverge, the disagreement is about interpretation, because the input was byte-identical and the hash proves it. The scored verdicts here span 14.0 points of the 0-100 scale.

claude-haiku-4-5
anthropic
32.0
okElevated

The APAC region shows mixed signals with positive economic activity in climate finance and business expansion, but concerning cybersecurity vulnerabilities affecting critical maritime and energy infrastructure. The FortiBleed incident and rising cybercrime rates (30% of all crime in some countries) represent tangible threats to regional stability, though current evidence suggests operational disruptions rather than systemic breakdown or geopolitical conflict escalation.

evidence d37bb023a88a…prompt p1
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
google
25.0
okElevated

While routine corporate expansions and green investments indicate a functioning economic environment in the Asia-Pacific region, rising cybercrime presents a notable underlying risk. Specifically, the exposure of critical maritime and energy infrastructure to the FortiBleed vulnerability elevates the regional threat level despite the absence of physical conflict.

evidence d37bb023a88a…prompt p1
deepseek-reasoner
deepseek
20.0
okElevated

The region faces moderately elevated risk due to rising cybercrime and a specific maritime cybersecurity threat, but these are not causing widespread disruption or physical conflict. Business activity continues normally, suggesting overall stability with localized security concerns.

evidence d37bb023a88a…prompt p1
llama-3.3-70b-versatile
groq
20.0
okElevated

The region is experiencing a rise in cybercrimes, with a notable incident being the FortiBleed incident that exposed login credentials of maritime and energy companies, posing a threat to maritime trade. However, the presence of positive developments such as investments in climate-focused funds, advancements in data center cooling technology, and expansion of fire protection engineering capabilities suggests that the region is not in a state of chaos, but rather facing elevated challenges that are being addressed through various initiatives.

evidence d37bb023a88a…prompt p1
claude-opus-5
anthropic
18.0
okStable

The evidence is dominated by routine corporate news inand product launches, and executive appointments, with no indication of armed conflict, political crisis, or civil unrest in the region. The only stability-relevant signals are a rise in cybercrime across Asia and the South Pacific and the FortiBleed firewall exposure affecting maritime, port and energy operators, which represent elevated but non-kinetic risk.

evidence d37bb023a88a…prompt p1

Every model returned a parseable verdict for this evidence, so no failure card is shown. Non-ok rows are rendered by the same component — with error_text where the rationale would be — and are covered by tests/rationale_card_test.tsx.