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Evidence inspector

Asia-Pacific · 2026-07-11

The receipts. This is the exact material every model was shown for this day and region, followed by what each of them made of it — in its own words, next to the number it gave.

It is worth reading once even if you skip everything else: it is where confident-sounding reasoning and a score that turns out to be no better than chance sit side by side.

Why the evidence is identical, and how you can check

Evidence is gathered once per (date, region, depth_profile), hashed, and reused for every model in the run. A disagreement below is therefore a disagreement about identical input, not two models getting different search results. The evidence hash shown on this page is what makes that checkable.

Region
Asia-PacificEuropeMiddle East & North AfricaSub-Saharan AfricaNorth America
Depth profile
shallow
Date
2026-07-122026-07-112026-07-102026-07-092026-07-082026-07-072026-07-062026-07-052026-07-042026-07-032026-07-022026-07-012026-06-302026-06-292026-06-282026-06-272026-06-262026-06-25
Evidence hash
69ad1e7de299f908b43ac113f5d7cba4206959a7053f5106ba67a741fc7ea83c

SHA-256 over the canonically serialised payload minus the hash itself, so it is stable across processes and machines. It is stored on the run and on every score row below — provenance is checkable, not asserted. Every score row below carries this same hash.

Source material · 10

shallow

These headlines, in this order, are the entire world the models were given. Nothing else about Asia-Pacific on 2026-07-11 was in the prompt.

03

Fortinet names Luca Simonelli APAC chief

Fortinet has appointed Luca Simonelli as senior vice president for Asia Pacific, tasking the cybersecurity veteran with leading the company's regional sales...

tribune.net.ph
07

Israel’s Pivot to Asia

Israel's reliance on longstanding partnerships with the United States and a handful of European countries is no longer sufficient.

thediplomat.com
10

PH must prepare now for super El Niño

FORECASTS issued last May have strengthened warnings that climate scientists have been making for months: the tropical Pacific is increasingly likely to...

manilatimes.net

Extracts: not gathered at shallow depth — Stage 7 populates extracts only for standard and deep profiles. Zero here means "not requested", not "requested and empty". Full article texts: not gathered at shallow depth — only the deep profile fetches them.

The shallow profile requests 20 headlines and 10 are stored. That is a known provider cap, not a clipped payload: the Serper news endpoint returns at most 10 items per request regardless of the count asked for, and pagination has not been added. The three profiles currently differ in enrichment, not in headline breadth.

Model rationales

prompt p1

Same headlines, same rendered prompt, different readings. Where two models diverge, the disagreement is about interpretation, because the input was byte-identical and the hash proves it. The scored verdicts here span 15.0 points of the 0-100 scale.

gemini-3.1-pro-preview
google
35.0
okElevated

While regional stability is bolstered by economic integration and new cooperative infrastructure like the counter-cybercrime hub in Hanoi, geopolitical frictions persist as the Philippines rejects Chinese sovereignty claims over the strategically located Batanes Islands. Additionally, looming environmental threats from a forecasted super El Niño and projected long-term semiconductor supply chain shortages introduce moderate risks to the region's future security and economic outlook.

evidence 69ad1e7de299…prompt p1
claude-haiku-4-5
anthropic
32.0
okElevated

The APAC region shows mixed signals with positive developments in infrastructure integration, cybersecurity cooperation, and trade diversification offsetting emerging tensions. However, territorial disputes (Philippines-China over Batanes Islands), climate risks (El Niño warnings), and supply chain vulnerabilities (memory chip shortages) introduce moderate instability factors that warrant elevated concern without reaching critical thresholds given the shallow evidence depth available.

evidence 69ad1e7de299…prompt p1
deepseek-reasoner
deepseek
30.0
okElevated

Regional activity is dominated by routine economic integration, cybersecurity infrastructure development, and corporate appointments, indicating normal governance and business operations. However, friction persists with the Philippines rejecting Chinese sovereignty claims over the Batanes Islands near Taiwan, alongside climate preparedness warnings for a potential super El Niño, justifying a slightly elevated score.

evidence 69ad1e7de299…prompt p1
claude-opus-5
anthropic
25.0
okElevated

Most evidence points to routine or constructive regional activity — grid integration, cybercrime cooperation, trade realignment under CPTPP/RCEP, and corporate appointments — indicating no acute crisis. Mild elevation comes from the Philippines' rejection of Chinese academic sovereignty claims over the Batanes Islands near Taiwan, plus forecast risks from a potential super El Niño and ongoing wildfire and semiconductor supply pressures.

evidence 69ad1e7de299…prompt p1
llama-3.3-70b-versatile
groq
20.0
okElevated

The region is experiencing a mix of cooperative efforts, such as the integration of power grids and the establishment of a counter-cybercrime hub, which suggests a level of stability and collaboration. However, there are also indications of potential tensions, including sovereignty claims and forecasts of severe weather events, which contribute to a slightly elevated chaos score.

evidence 69ad1e7de299…prompt p1

Every model returned a parseable verdict for this evidence, so no failure card is shown. Non-ok rows are rendered by the same component — with error_text where the rationale would be — and are covered by tests/rationale_card_test.tsx.